Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.016794 0.018629 0.020479 0.022478 0.024575 0.026702 0.029020
2025-06-01 0.013206 0.015959 0.018851 0.022089 0.025593 0.029250 0.033337
2025-06-08 0.010789 0.014046 0.017584 0.021657 0.026169 0.030972 0.036431
2025-06-15 0.009238 0.012857 0.016904 0.021672 0.027052 0.032867 0.039560
2025-06-22 0.007719 0.011531 0.015926 0.021220 0.027300 0.033962 0.041717
2025-06-29 0.006232 0.010093 0.014694 0.020368 0.027001 0.034366 0.043034
2025-07-06 0.004929 0.008747 0.013465 0.019426 0.026517 0.034495 0.043979
2025-07-13 0.004383 0.008320 0.013313 0.019725 0.027442 0.036195 0.046668
2025-07-20 0.003673 0.007598 0.012738 0.019468 0.027675 0.037073 0.048398
2025-07-27 0.003094 0.006997 0.012274 0.019312 0.027999 0.038031 0.050197
2025-08-03 0.002943 0.007006 0.012596 0.020127 0.029483 0.040335 0.053539
2025-08-10 0.002428 0.006403 0.012067 0.019838 0.029607 0.041028 0.055006
2025-08-17 0.001793 0.005572 0.011242 0.019231 0.029436 0.041494 0.056365
2025-08-24 0.001315 0.004920 0.010634 0.018894 0.029608 0.042390 0.058265
2025-08-31 0.000912 0.004298 0.010012 0.018497 0.029672 0.043135 0.059967
2025-09-07 0.000665 0.003918 0.009714 0.018511 0.030236 0.044467 0.062351
2025-09-14 0.000404 0.003388 0.009129 0.018094 0.030224 0.045080 0.063864
2025-09-21 0.000177 0.002763 0.008318 0.017310 0.029702 0.045041 0.064576
2025-09-28 0.000041 0.002177 0.007488 0.016445 0.029033 0.044792 0.065012
2025-10-05 0.000014 0.002036 0.007439 0.016719 0.029870 0.046411 0.067698
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001742 0.007065 0.016483 0.030008 0.047145 0.069303
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001504 0.006764 0.016340 0.030258 0.048009 0.071059
2025-10-26 NaN 0.001538 0.007035 0.017089 0.031729 0.050419 0.074704